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State Representative, District 21

July 21, 2026 · State House District 21; Arizona · State house district · primary

Vote impact: Average
How do we calculate vote impact?

Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).

Representation: Average · 50 out of 100

This district is mid-sized for its type, so each vote carries average weight. About 246,628 people live here.

score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(275,769 ÷ 246,628) ÷ ln(275,769 ÷ 221,081) = 50.53, comparing state house districts in AZ (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)

Decisiveness: Unknown

No past results for this contest yet.

Average representation + unknown decisiveness → Average vote impact.

Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".

This office is responsible for:

  • Voting on state laws and the state budget
  • Representing their district in the statehouse
  • Serving on committees that shape bills before final votes
  • Helping district residents deal with state agencies

Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Education Quality, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, Election Integrity, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure

Candidates

Christopher Kibbey

Republican · declared

Christopher Kibbey is a Republican candidate for Arizona House of Representatives District 21 in 2026. He previously ran for the same seat and lost in the November 2024 general election, and is the sole Republican in the 2026 primary. His campaign emphasizes constitutional principles and long-term stewardship.

Consuelo Hernandez

Democratic · Incumbent · declared

Consuelo Hernandez is a Democratic member of the Arizona House of Representatives for District 21, first elected in 2022. She serves as president of the Sunnyside Unified School District governing board and previously worked as an immigration caseworker with the International Rescue Committee and in corporate account management. She holds degrees from Arizona State University and the University of Arizona.

Records: Civil Rights 1 for, Healthcare Affordability 1 for

Maritza Higuera

Democratic · declared

Maritza Higuera is a Democratic candidate for Arizona House of Representatives District 21 in 2026, making her first run for office. She and her husband operate an orchard and horse-boarding business in Rio Rico, and she is a bilingual children's book author active in Santa Cruz County community organizations.

Miranda Lopez

Democratic · declared

Miranda Lopez is a Democratic candidate for Arizona House of Representatives District 21 in 2026. A self-described democratic socialist and community organizer, she is a two-time University of Arizona graduate who served as executive director of the Pima County Democratic Party and southern regional director of the Arizona Students' Association, and was elected treasurer of United Campus Workers Arizona in 2025.

Stephanie Stahl Hamilton

Democratic · Incumbent · declared

Stephanie Stahl Hamilton is a Democratic member of the Arizona House of Representatives for District 21 and an ordained Presbyterian (PCUSA) minister. First elected in 2020, she has served on the Appropriations and Joint Legislative Budget committees. She holds a Master of Divinity from Princeton Theological Seminary.

Records: Women's Reproductive Rights 1 for

Election sources

Source: azsos.gov

Source: tucson.com