United States Representative, Congressional District 2
Congressional District 2 (119th Congress), Virginia
My vote power
High
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Normal · 61 out of 100
This district covers a large share of its state, so each vote carries about average weight — like a vote in a statewide race. About 787,890 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(8,705,170 ÷ 787,890) ÷ ln(50,000) = 61.1, measured against a statewide vote in VA (grades: 66+ high, 33+ normal, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: High · rated toss-up as of August 20, 2026
Election analysts currently rate this race very close — a small number of votes could decide the winner. Rating from Inside Elections and University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.
Show the decisiveness math
IE "Toss-up" (d=0) + Sabato "Toss-up" (d=0) → mean 0 → "toss-up" → grade high (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade normal, not competitive grades low)
Normal representation + high decisiveness → My vote power: High.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
- Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
- Voting on federal spending for roads, defense, and health care
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Democratic · declared
Elaine Luria is the Democratic nominee for Virginia's 2nd Congressional District in 2026 and previously represented the district in the U.S. House from 2019 to 2023.
Records: Social Programs and Welfare 1 for
Independent · declared
Geral D. "Bishop" Staten is an Independent candidate for Virginia's 2nd Congressional District in 2026. Virginia election records show prior unsuccessful candidacies for Suffolk mayor and commissioner of the revenue.
Republican · Incumbent · declared
Jen Kiggans is the U.S. Representative for Virginia's 2nd Congressional District and a Republican candidate for the district in 2026.
Records: Labor Rights 2 against, AI Regulation 1 for, Corporate Accountability 1 against,
Independent · declared
J. Matt Baker is an Independent candidate for Virginia's 2nd Congressional District in 2026.