United States Representative, Congressional District 4
Congressional District 4 (119th Congress), New Jersey
My vote power
Below average
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Normal · 61 out of 100
This district covers a large share of its state, so each vote carries about average weight — like a vote in a statewide race. About 788,486 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(9,343,809 ÷ 788,486) ÷ ln(50,000) = 61.43, measured against a statewide vote in NJ (grades: 66+ high, 33+ normal, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Low · rated not competitive as of August 20, 2026
Election analysts currently rate this race not competitive. Rating from Inside Elections.
Show the decisiveness math
IE "Solid Republican" (d=5) → mean 5 → "not competitive" → grade low (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade normal, not competitive grades low)
Normal representation + low decisiveness → My vote power: Below average.
The current race rating comes from a single analyst source, so it is less certain.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
- Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
- Voting on federal spending for roads, defense, and health care
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Republican · Incumbent · declared
Christopher H. Smith is a Republican U.S. Representative for New Jersey's 4th Congressional District. His official biography describes his congressional service and work on foreign affairs, human rights, and veterans issues.
Records: Environment and Public Health 2 for, 56 against, Immigration 2 for, 25 against, Civil Rights 5 for, 11 against,
Democratic · declared
Rachel Peace is a Democratic candidate for New Jersey's 4th Congressional District. Her campaign presents an agenda focused on healthcare access, coastal communities, and a different approach to representation.