State Senator, District 14
November 3, 2026 · State Senate District 14; California · State senate district · general
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Low · 26 out of 100
This district is large for its type, so each vote is a smaller slice of the outcome. About 1,010,439 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(1,046,386 ÷ 1,010,439) ÷ ln(1,046,386 ÷ 916,831) = 26.45, comparing state senate districts in CA (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Low representation + unknown decisiveness → Below average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
State Senator is responsible for:
- Voting on state laws and the state budget
- Representing their district in the state senate
- Confirming certain governor appointments in many states
- Helping district residents deal with state agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Education Quality, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, Election Integrity, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Darin DuPont
Republican · declared
Darin DuPont is the Republican nominee for California's 14th State Senate District (Central Valley) in the 2026 general election, facing Democratic Assemblymember Esmeralda Soria. A Merced native and attorney with water-law experience, he was elected to the Merced City Council in November 2024.
Esmeralda Soria
Democratic · declared
Esmeralda Soria is a Democratic candidate for California's 14th State Senate District (Central Valley — Fresno/Merced) in the 2026 general election, an open-seat top-two contest against Republican Darin DuPont. She currently serves in the California State Assembly (District 27), first elected in 2022, and previously served two terms on the Fresno City Council.
Records: Environment and Public Health 1 for
Election sources
Source: ballotpedia.org