United States Representative, District 2
November 3, 2026 · Congressional District 2 (119th Congress), Idaho · U.S. House district · general
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Low · 11 out of 100
This district is large for its type, so each vote is a smaller slice of the outcome. About 947,982 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(1,021,191 ÷ 947,982) ÷ ln(1,021,191 ÷ 546,488) = 11.9, comparing all US House districts nationwide (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Low representation + unknown decisiveness → Below average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
United States Representative is responsible for:
- Voting on federal laws, taxes, and the federal budget
- Representing their district's interests in Congress
- Starting tax and spending bills, which must begin in the House
- Helping district residents deal with federal agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Immigration, Government Spending Reduction, Social Programs and Welfare, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, National Defense, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Foreign Trade, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure, Peaceful Foreign Policy
Candidates
Ellie Gilbreath
Democratic · declared
Ellie Gilbreath is the 2026 Democratic nominee for Idaho's 2nd Congressional District. A Ketchum resident, she holds a law degree from Georgetown University Law Center and owns a business and personal coaching practice.
Emre Houser
Independent · declared
Emre Houser is an independent candidate for Idaho's 2nd Congressional District in 2026. He describes over 27 years of national service and more than 15 years as an Idaho business owner.
Mike Simpson
Republican · Incumbent · declared
Mike Simpson is the Republican U.S. Representative for Idaho's 2nd Congressional District, serving since 1999. A dentist by profession, he previously served in the Idaho House of Representatives, including as Speaker, before his election to Congress.
Records: Environment and Public Health 1 for, Public Infrastructure 1 for
Tripp Hutchinson
Independent · declared
Tripp Hutchinson is an independent candidate for Idaho's 2nd Congressional District in 2026. He serves on the Ketchum City Council and campaigns on lowering the cost of living for working-class Idahoans and preserving rural Idaho.
Election sources
Source: en.wikipedia.org
Source: sos.idaho.gov