State House District 20
August 18, 2026 · State House District 20; Alaska · State house district · primary
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: High · 72 out of 100
Smaller districts give each vote more weight, and this district is small for its type. About 17,920 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(20,857 ÷ 17,920) ÷ ln(20,857 ÷ 16,940) = 72.96, comparing state house districts in AK (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
High representation + unknown decisiveness → High vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
This office is responsible for:
- Voting on state laws and the state budget
- Representing their district in the statehouse
- Serving on committees that shape bills before final votes
- Helping district residents deal with state agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Education Quality, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, Election Integrity, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Bauer, Paul A. Jr.
Nonpartisan · declared
Paul A. Bauer Jr. is the nonpartisan certified candidate for Alaska House District 20 in the 2026 primary. The Alaska Division of Elections candidate list gives his Anchorage campaign address and phone number, but lists no campaign website or email in the HD20 roster section.
Records: Anti-Corruption 3 for, 3 against, Civil Rights 2 for, 2 against, Corporate Accountability 1 for, Election Integrity 3 for, Environment and Public Health 3 for, 2 against, Government Efficiency 5 for, Government Spending Reduction 6 for, Gun Control 1 against, Housing Affordability 1 for, Public Education Quality 5 for, Public Infrastructure 6 for, Public Safety and Crime Control 11 for, Social Programs and Welfare 5 for, Women's Reproductive Rights 1 against
Gray, Andrew T.
Registered Democrat · Incumbent · declared
Andrew T. Gray is the registered Democrat certified incumbent candidate for Alaska House District 20 in the 2026 primary. The Alaska Legislature identifies him as Representative Andrew Gray, District 20, party Democrat, with legislative service in 2023-2024 and 2025-2026. His official biography lists a BA in English from UT Austin, an MS in Physician Assistant Studies from Baylor College of Medicine, Alaska Army National Guard service from 2014 to 2023, and professional work as a physician assistant.
Records: Election Integrity 1 for, Healthcare Affordability 2 for, Housing Affordability 3 for, Public Education Quality 1 for, Public Safety and Crime Control 1 for, Social Programs and Welfare 2 for
Election sources
Source: elections.alaska.gov