United States Representative, Congressional District 4
Congressional District 4 (119th Congress), Arkansas
My vote power
Average
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Above average · 56 out of 100
This district is a good deal smaller than its state, so each vote here carries more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 748,462 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(3,049,391 ÷ 748,462) ÷ ln(50,000) = 56.49, measured against a statewide vote in AR (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Low · rated not competitive as of August 20, 2026
Election analysts currently rate this race not competitive. Rating from Inside Elections.
Show the decisiveness math
IE "Solid Republican" (d=5) → mean 5 → "not competitive" → grade low (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)
Above average representation + low decisiveness → My vote power: Average.
The current race rating comes from a single analyst source, so it is less certain.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
- Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
- Voting on federal spending for roads, defense, and health care
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Republican · Incumbent · declared
U.S. Representative for Arkansas's 4th District and chair of the House Natural Resources Committee. An engineer and forester, he previously served in the Arkansas House and on the Fountain Lake School Board.
Records: Labor Rights 3 against, Public Infrastructure 2 for, AI Regulation 1 for,
Democratic · declared
A Little Rock mental-health professional who has provided statewide care since 2014. His campaign emphasizes restoring trust in government.