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United States Representative, Congressional District 20

Congressional District 20 (119th Congress), New York

My vote power

Average

Election date

November 3, 2026 · General election

How do we calculate my vote power?

What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.

Representation: Above average · 64 out of 100

This district is a good deal smaller than its state, so each vote here carries more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 782,695 people live here.

Show the representation math

score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(19,852,366 ÷ 782,695) ÷ ln(50,000) = 64.94, measured against a statewide vote in NY (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)

Decisiveness: Low · rated not competitive as of August 20, 2026

Election analysts currently rate this race not competitive. Rating from Inside Elections.

Show the decisiveness math

IE "Solid Democrat" (d=5) → mean 5 → "not competitive" → grade low (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)

Above average representation + low decisiveness → My vote power: Average.

The current race rating comes from a single analyst source, so it is less certain.

About this office

  • Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
  • Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
  • Voting on federal spending for roads, defense, and health care

Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,

Candidates

Democratic · Incumbent · declared

Former New York State Energy Research and Development Authority president, with 25 years in the State Assembly. Priorities include clean energy and environmental protection, and jobs and economic development.

Records: Labor Rights 14 for, Civil Rights 3 for, Reduce Wealth Gap 2 for,

Republican · declared

Attorney in private practice and former New York State Police assistant counsel, assistant district attorney, and assistant attorney general. Priorities include lowering living costs and expanding energy supply.

Sources: fec.gov2