United States Representative, Congressional District 2
Congressional District 2 (119th Congress), Minnesota
My vote power
Above average
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Above average · 59 out of 100
This district is a good deal smaller than its state, so each vote here carries more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 730,253 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(5,739,445 ÷ 730,253) ÷ ln(50,000) = 59.53, measured against a statewide vote in MN (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Average · rated somewhat competitive as of August 20, 2026
Election analysts currently rate this race somewhat close. Rating from Inside Elections and University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.
Show the decisiveness math
IE "Likely Democrat" (d=4) + Sabato "Likely Democratic" (d=4) → mean 4 → "somewhat competitive" → grade average (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)
Above average representation + average decisiveness → My vote power: Above average.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
- Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
- Voting on federal spending for roads, defense, and health care
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Republican · declared
Minnesota State Senator for District 54. He previously served on the Prior Lake-Savage School Board and works in banking risk management.
Records: Social Programs and Welfare 1 for
Democratic-Farmer-Labor · declared
Former Minnesota State Senator for District 58 and former Mayor of Lakeville.
Records: Healthcare Affordability 1 for