State Representative - District No. 17
July 21, 2026 · State House District 17; Arizona · State house district · primary
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Average · 45 out of 100
This district is mid-sized for its type, so each vote carries average weight. About 249,296 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(275,769 ÷ 249,296) ÷ ln(275,769 ÷ 221,081) = 45.66, comparing state house districts in AZ (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Average representation + unknown decisiveness → Average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
This office is responsible for:
- Voting on state laws and the state budget
- Representing their district in the statehouse
- Serving on committees that shape bills before final votes
- Helping district residents deal with state agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Education Quality, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, Election Integrity, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Keshel, Rachel "Jones"
Republican · Incumbent · declared
Rachel Keshel is a Republican Arizona state representative for District 17. Before entering the legislature, she worked as a UPS business executive, teacher, and preschool director.
Records: Civil Rights 1 against, Election Integrity 2 for, 1 against, Public Safety and Crime Control 1 against
Lyon, Hollace "Holly"
Democratic · declared
Hollace "Holly" Lyon is a Democratic Arizona House candidate, former seventh-grade mathematics teacher, and retired U.S. Air Force colonel. During 26 years in the Air Force, she commanded twice and served at NATO headquarters and the Pentagon.
Records: Civil Rights 1 for, Government Efficiency 1 for
Volk, Kevin
Democratic · Incumbent · declared
Kevin Volk is a Democratic Arizona state representative for District 17. A Southern Arizona native and Brown University graduate, he previously worked as a public-school teacher and in real estate and housing development.
Records: Environment and Public Health 1 for, Public Education Quality 1 for, Public Infrastructure 1 for, Social Programs and Welfare 1 for, Women's Reproductive Rights 1 for
Winchester, John
Republican · declared
John Winchester is a Republican Arizona House candidate, lifelong Tucsonan, minister, and nonprofit and higher-education executive. He previously led the Northwest YMCA and works in government and community engagement for Arizona State University in Southern Arizona.
Records: Public Infrastructure 1 for
Election sources
Source: azsos.gov
Source: azsos.gov
Source: azsos.gov