Governor
New Mexico
My vote power
Average
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Average · 50 out of 100
This district covers a large share of its state, so each vote carries about average weight — like a vote in a statewide race. About 2,120,246 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(2,120,246 ÷ 2,120,246) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50, measured against a statewide vote in NM (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Average · rated somewhat competitive as of August 12, 2026
Election analysts currently rate this race somewhat close. Rating from Inside Elections and University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.
Show the decisiveness math
IE "Likely Democrat" (d=4) + Sabato "Safe Democratic" (d=5) → mean 4.5 → "somewhat competitive" after consensus guardrails → grade average (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)
Average representation + average decisiveness → My vote power: Average.
About this office
- Signing or vetoing bills that become state law
- Proposing the state budget for schools, roads, and health care
- Picking who leads state agencies
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Democratic · declared
Democratic nominee for Governor of New Mexico in 2026. Served as U.S. Secretary of the Interior (2021–2025) and previously represented New Mexico's 1st congressional district in the U.S. House (2019–2021).
Records: Civil Rights 4 for
Republican · declared
Republican nominee for Governor of New Mexico in 2026. Served as Mayor of Rio Rancho, New Mexico (2014–2026) and is a businessman.
Records: Public Safety and Crime Control 2 for, Public Infrastructure 1 for
Sources: en.wikipedia.org · thegreenpapers.com