United States Representative, Congressional District 22
Congressional District 22 (119th Congress), California
My vote power
Very high
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: High · 68 out of 100
This district is a small slice of its state, so each vote here carries much more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 780,759 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(39,287,377 ÷ 780,759) ÷ ln(50,000) = 68.11, measured against a statewide vote in CA (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: High · rated very competitive as of August 20, 2026
Election analysts currently rate this race very close — a small number of votes could decide the winner. Rating from Inside Elections and University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.
Show the decisiveness math
IE "Tilt Republican" (d=2) + Sabato "Leans Democratic" (d=3) → mean 2.5 → "very competitive" after consensus guardrails → grade high (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)
High representation + high decisiveness → My vote power: Very high.
Election analysts disagree on which side is favored here, so the current rating is less certain.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
- Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
- Voting on federal spending for roads, defense, and health care
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Republican · Incumbent · declared
David G. Valadao represents California's 22nd Congressional District. He previously served in the California State Assembly.
Records: Environment and Public Health 7 for, 71 against, Immigration 2 for, 27 against, Government Spending Reduction 6 for, 17 against,
Democratic · declared
Randy Villegas serves on the Visalia Unified School District Board of Education. He is a political science professor at College of the Sequoias.
Records: Healthcare Affordability 1 for