United States Representative, Congressional District 3
July 21, 2026 · Congressional District 3 (119th Congress), Arizona · U.S. House district · primary
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Average · 35 out of 100
This district is mid-sized for its type, so each vote carries average weight. About 815,927 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(1,021,191 ÷ 815,927) ÷ ln(1,021,191 ÷ 546,488) = 35.89, comparing all US House districts nationwide (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Average representation + unknown decisiveness → Average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
United States Representative is responsible for:
- Voting on federal laws, taxes, and the federal budget
- Representing their district's interests in Congress
- Starting tax and spending bills, which must begin in the House
- Helping district residents deal with federal agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Immigration, Government Spending Reduction, Social Programs and Welfare, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, National Defense, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Foreign Trade, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure, Peaceful Foreign Policy
Candidates
Alan Aversa
Arizona Independent · declared
Alan Aversa is an Arizona Independent Party candidate for Arizona's 3rd Congressional District, a Phoenix-area seat, running in the July 2026 primary.
Records: Women's Reproductive Rights 7 against
Kirt Burgess
Republican · declared
Kirt Burgess is the Republican candidate for Arizona's 3rd Congressional District, a Phoenix-area seat, running in the July 2026 primary.
Sandy Cano-Bravo
Democratic · declared
Sandy Cano-Bravo is a Democratic candidate for Arizona's 3rd Congressional District, a Phoenix-area seat, challenging incumbent Yassamin Ansari in the primary.
Yassamin Ansari
Democratic · Incumbent · declared
Yassamin Ansari is the Democratic incumbent for Arizona's 3rd Congressional District, a Phoenix-area seat. A former Phoenix city councilmember, she was first elected to Congress in 2024.
Election sources
Source: fec.gov