State Representative, District 49
May 26, 2026 · State House District 49; Texas · State house district · runoff
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Average · 64 out of 100
This district is mid-sized for its type, so each vote carries average weight. About 200,815 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(240,390 ÷ 200,815) ÷ ln(240,390 ÷ 181,544) = 64.07, comparing state house districts in TX (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Average representation + unknown decisiveness → Average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
This office is responsible for:
- Voting on state laws and the state budget
- Representing their district in the statehouse
- Serving on committees that shape bills before final votes
- Helping district residents deal with state agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Education Quality, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, Election Integrity, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Kathie Tovo
Democratic · declared
Kathie Tovo is a former Austin City Council member, former Austin mayor pro tem, university lecturer, and Democratic candidate for Texas House District 49. She served on the City Council from 2011 through 2023 and as mayor pro tem from 2015 through 2019.
Records: Civil Rights 2 for, Environment and Public Health 2 for, Healthcare Affordability 2 for, Housing Affordability 2 for, Public Education Quality 3 for, Public Infrastructure 1 for
Montserrat Garibay
Democratic · declared
Montserrat Garibay is a former Austin ISD pre-K teacher, labor leader, former U.S. Department of Education official, and Democratic nominee for Texas House District 49. She previously served as an assistant deputy secretary at the Department of Education.
Records: Civil Rights 2 for, Environment and Public Health 1 for, Housing Affordability 2 for, Public Education Quality 1 for, Public Infrastructure 1 for
Election sources
Source: votetravis.gov
Source: votetravis.gov
Source: kut.org