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Magistrate Judge - Lea DIVISION 4

Lea County, New Mexico

My vote power

Below average

Election date

November 3, 2026 · General election

How do we calculate my vote power?

What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.

Representation: Above average · 65 out of 100

This district is a good deal smaller than its state, so each vote here carries more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 73,733 people live here.

Show the representation math

score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(2,120,246 ÷ 73,733) ÷ ln(50,000) = 65.52, measured against a statewide vote in NM (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)

Decisiveness: None · only 1 candidate

One candidate is running unopposed, so votes can't change the outcome.

Above average representation + an uncontested race → My vote power: Below average.

About this office

  • Deciding trials in the county
  • Ruling on evidence and setting sentences in criminal cases
  • Deciding family, probate, and civil disputes

Affects: Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Civil Rights,

Candidates

Republican · Incumbent · declared

Keith Clayton is the incumbent Lea County Magistrate Judge for Division 4 in the Fifth Judicial District of New Mexico and the Republican candidate for the 2026 election.

Sources: leacounty.net2