State Representative
State House District 20; Alaska
My vote power
High
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
The State Representative general election in State House District 20; Alaska is on November 3, 2026. 2 candidates are running: Andrew T. Gray (Registered Democrat) and Paul A. Bauer Jr.. Andrew T. Gray is the incumbent. One vote here carries high weight compared with other races.
How do we calculate my vote power?
What determines the vote power rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus whether more candidates are running than there are seats.
Representation: High · 67 out of 100
This district is a small slice of its state, so each vote here carries much more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 17,920 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(735,706 ÷ 17,920) ÷ ln(50,000) = 67.17, measured against a statewide vote in AK (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No analyst ratings or past results for this contest yet.
High representation → My vote power: High.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
What does this office do?
- Voting on how much you pay in state taxes
- Voting on how much money your local public schools get
- Voting on which roads and highways get built or repaired
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Who is running?
Registered Democrat · Incumbent
Andrew Gray is a physician associate and Army National Guard veteran who has represented East Anchorage in the Alaska House since 2023 and chairs its Judiciary Committee. He focuses on child safety, housing, public schools, and pensions for public workers.
Records: Social Programs and Welfare 6 for, Healthcare Affordability 4 for, Housing Affordability 4 for,
Nonpartisan
Paul Bauer is an Army retiree and airport security manager who served on the Anchorage Assembly from 2005 to 2008. He puts public safety first and also backs more health care workers, care for seniors at home, and protecting the Permanent Fund Dividend.
Records: Environment and Public Health 3 for, 2 against, Anti-Corruption 3 for, 1 against, Civil Rights 1 for, 3 against,
Source: elections.alaska.gov
Last updated September 24, 2026.