U.S. Senator
August 11, 2026 · Minnesota · Statewide · primary
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Average · 45 out of 100
This district is mid-sized for its type, so each vote carries average weight. About 5,739,445 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(39,287,377 ÷ 5,739,445) ÷ ln(39,287,377 ÷ 582,397) = 45.67, comparing all statewide districts nationwide (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Average representation + unknown decisiveness → Average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
United States Senator is responsible for:
- Voting on federal laws, taxes, and the federal budget
- Approving or rejecting the president's nominees for judges and top officials
- Voting on whether to approve treaties with other countries
- Helping people in the state deal with federal agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Immigration, Government Spending Reduction, Social Programs and Welfare, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, National Defense, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Foreign Trade, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure, Peaceful Foreign Policy
Candidates
Adam Schwarze
Republican · declared
Adam Schwarze is a Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate candidate, a retired Navy SEAL officer, and a former Marine infantryman. The Minnesota Republican Party endorsed him for U.S. Senate in May 2026 after a military career spanning roughly 21 years.
Records: National Defense 1 for
Angie Craig
Democratic-Farmer-Labor · declared
Angie Craig is a Democratic-Farmer-Labor candidate for U.S. Senate and the U.S. representative for Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District. She has served in the House since 2019 and previously worked as a newspaper reporter and health care company executive.
Records: Civil Rights 1 for, Immigration 1 for, 1 against, National Defense 2 for, Social Programs and Welfare 1 against
Billy Nord
Democratic-Farmer-Labor · declared
Billy Nord is a Democratic-Farmer-Labor candidate for Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat. Federal Election Commission records identify Billy Nord for Minnesota as his principal campaign committee.
Michele Tafoya
Republican · declared
Michele Tafoya is a Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate candidate, podcast host, and former national sports broadcaster. She reported from the sidelines for NBC Sunday Night Football from 2011 through 2022 and won four Sports Emmy Awards for sports reporting.
Records: Immigration 1 for, National Defense 1 for, Women's Reproductive Rights 1 for
Peggy Flanagan
Democratic-Farmer-Labor · declared
Peggy Flanagan is a Democratic-Farmer-Labor candidate for U.S. Senate and Minnesota's lieutenant governor, an office she has held since 2019. A member of the White Earth Band of Ojibwe, she previously served in the Minnesota House and worked in nonprofit management and child advocacy.
Records: Civil Rights 2 for, Gun Control 1 for, Immigration 2 for, Social Programs and Welfare 1 for
Royce White
Republican · declared
Royce White is a Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate candidate, political activist, and former professional basketball player. He led Minneapolis protest marches after George Floyd's death and was Minnesota's Republican U.S. Senate nominee in 2024.
Records: Civil Rights 1 for, 1 against
Tom Weiler
Republican · declared
Tom Weiler is a Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate candidate and retired U.S. Navy submarine officer. He served 20 years in the Navy before retiring in 2021 and was the Republican nominee for Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District in 2022.
Records: Government Spending Reduction 1 for, National Defense 1 for, Women's Reproductive Rights 1 against
Election sources
Source: candidates.sos.mn.gov
Source: sos.mn.gov