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State Representative

State House District 18; Alaska

My vote power

High

Election date

November 3, 2026 · General election

The State Representative general election in State House District 18; Alaska is on November 3, 2026. 2 candidates are running: Cliff Groh (Registered Democrat) and Dan Sager (Registered Republican). One vote here carries high weight compared with other races.

How do we calculate my vote power?

What determines the vote power rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus whether more candidates are running than there are seats.

Representation: High · 67 out of 100

This district is a small slice of its state, so each vote here carries much more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 17,486 people live here.

Show the representation math

score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(735,706 ÷ 17,486) ÷ ln(50,000) = 67.28, measured against a statewide vote in AK (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)

Decisiveness: Unknown

No analyst ratings or past results for this contest yet.

High representation → My vote power: High.

Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".

What does this office do?

  • Voting on how much you pay in state taxes
  • Voting on how much money your local public schools get
  • Voting on which roads and highways get built or repaired

Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,

Who is running?

Registered Democrat

Cliff Groh is an Anchorage lawyer and former prosecutor who served in the Alaska House in 2023 and 2024. He wants a lasting Permanent Fund payout formula, a moderate oil tax increase, and savings in the state budget.

Records: Government Efficiency 2 for, Environment and Public Health 1 for, Personal Income Tax Reduction 1 against,

Registered Republican

Dan Sager is a building materials sales manager and rental property owner who has served on Anchorage's housing and homelessness commission since 2023. He wants to lower the cost of living and use natural resources to pay for roads, schools, and jobs.

Records: Housing Affordability 1 for, Social Programs and Welfare 1 for

Source: elections.alaska.gov

Last updated September 24, 2026.