County Supervisor 4th District
Orange County, California
My vote power
Above average
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
This seat represents 4th District, not the whole district above. We can’t match an address to an area this small, so this race may not be on your ballot.
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Above average · 61 out of 100
This district is a good deal smaller than its state, so each vote here carries more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 3,165,820 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(39,287,377 ÷ 3,165,820) ÷ ln(50,000) = 61.64, measured against a statewide vote in CA (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No analyst ratings or past results for this contest yet.
Above average representation → My vote power: Above average.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information.
About this office
- Setting your property tax rate
- Funding county roads, health programs, and elections
- Setting land use and building rules outside city limits
Affects: Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health, Government Efficiency,
Candidates
Nonpartisan · declared
Connor Traut is the mayor of Buena Park and represents the city on the Orange County Fire Authority board. He previously served on the Centralia Elementary School District board.
Records: Government Efficiency 1 for, Government Spending Reduction 1 against, Housing Affordability 1 for,
Nonpartisan · declared
Tim Shaw is a trustee on the Orange County Board of Education and previously served on the La Habra City Council, including terms as mayor. He has also served on the county transportation authority and sanitation district boards.
Records: Environment and Public Health 1 for, 2 against, Government Spending Reduction 1 for, Public Infrastructure 1 for
Sources: ocvote.gov23