Newberry County Probate Judge
Newberry County, South Carolina
My vote power
Below average
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: High · 72 out of 100
This district is a small slice of its state, so each vote here carries much more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 38,435 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(5,296,225 ÷ 38,435) ÷ ln(50,000) = 72.76, measured against a statewide vote in SC (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: None · only 1 candidate
One candidate is running unopposed, so votes can't change the outcome.
High representation + an uncontested race → My vote power: Below average.
About this office
- Deciding trials in the county
- Ruling on evidence and setting sentences in criminal cases
- Deciding family, probate, and civil disputes
Affects: Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Civil Rights,
Candidates
Democratic · Incumbent · declared
Kelly Baker Nobles is the Newberry County Probate Judge. County records note her prior probate-court clerk service, interim appointment in 1997, and election to the office; the 2026 state filing lists her as an active Democratic candidate.
Source: vrems.scvotes.sc.gov