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State Senator - District No. 21

State Senate District 21; Arizona

My vote power

Normal

Election date

November 3, 2026 · General election

How do we calculate my vote power?

What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.

Representation: Normal · 65 out of 100

This district covers a large share of its state, so each vote carries about average weight — like a vote in a statewide race. About 246,628 people live here.

Show the representation math

score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(7,378,838 ÷ 246,628) ÷ ln(50,000) = 65.7, measured against a statewide vote in AZ (grades: 66+ high, 33+ normal, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)

Decisiveness: Unknown

No analyst ratings or past results for this contest yet.

Normal representation → My vote power: Normal.

Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information.

About this office

  • Voting on how much you pay in state taxes
  • Voting on how much money your local public schools get
  • Voting on which roads and highways get built or repaired

Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,

Candidates

Republican · declared

Esteban Flores ran for the TUSD school board in 2024, when more than 60,000 Tucsonans endorsed him. He says his motivation is the same now as then - the children and future generations - and he campaigns on promoting and securing the blessings of liberty.

Democratic · Incumbent · declared

Rosanna Gabaldon has represented Arizona Legislative District 21 in the State Senate since 2021, after serving as a State Representative from 2013 to 2021 and a Sahuarita Town Council Member from 2009 to 2012. Her priorities include public education, economic development and water sustainability.

Records: Civil Rights 3 for, Housing Affordability 2 for, Corporate Accountability 1 against,

Sources: apps.arizona.vote · azsos.gov