Skip to content

United States Representative, Congressional District 6

Congressional District 6 (119th Congress), Kentucky

My vote power

Above average

Election date

November 3, 2026 · General election

Currently somewhat competitive
How do we calculate my vote power?

What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.

Representation: Above average · 58 out of 100

This district is a good deal smaller than its state, so each vote here carries more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 761,688 people live here.

Show the representation math

score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(4,534,824 ÷ 761,688) ÷ ln(50,000) = 58.24, measured against a statewide vote in KY (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)

Decisiveness: Average · rated somewhat competitive as of August 20, 2026

Election analysts currently rate this race somewhat close. Rating from Inside Elections and University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.

Show the decisiveness math

IE "Likely Republican" (d=4) + Sabato "Likely Republican" (d=4) → mean 4 → "somewhat competitive" → grade average (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)

Above average representation + average decisiveness → My vote power: Above average.

About this office

  • Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
  • Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
  • Voting on federal spending for roads, defense, and health care

Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,

Candidates

Independent · declared

Jay J. Bowman is a Kentucky small-business owner with a background in construction, hybrid technology, and power-electronics systems. His campaign centers on tax reform, constitutional checks and balances, and reducing regulatory burdens.

Kentucky Party · declared

Pete Lynch is a University of Kentucky political science lecturer and researcher. His campaign emphasizes campaign-finance reform, healthcare, and economic policies for Kentucky families.

Republican · declared

Ralph Alvarado is a physician and former Kentucky state senator who served as Tennessee Commissioner of Health. His campaign focuses on affordability, healthcare, jobs, and government spending.

Write-In · declared

Robert Quigley is a Kentucky write-in congressional candidate focused on independent representation and economic reform. His campaign highlights tax and utility reform, environmental restoration, reindustrialization, and peace-oriented foreign policy.

Democratic · declared

Zach Dembo is a former federal prosecutor and former policy adviser to Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear. His campaign emphasizes anti-corruption, lower costs, good-paying jobs, and affordable healthcare.

Sources: fec.gov2