State Senator, District 2
November 3, 2026 · State Senate District 2; California · State senate district · general
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Average · 46 out of 100
This district is mid-sized for its type, so each vote carries average weight. About 984,184 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(1,046,386 ÷ 984,184) ÷ ln(1,046,386 ÷ 916,831) = 46.37, comparing state senate districts in CA (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Average representation + unknown decisiveness → Average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
State Senator is responsible for:
- Voting on state laws and the state budget
- Representing their district in the state senate
- Confirming certain governor appointments in many states
- Helping district residents deal with state agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Government Spending Reduction, Public Safety and Crime Control, Housing Affordability, Social Programs and Welfare, Public Education Quality, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, Election Integrity, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure
Candidates
Damon Connolly
Democratic · declared
Damon Connolly is a Democratic candidate for California's 2nd State Senate District (North Coast — Marin/Sonoma to the Oregon border) in the 2026 general election for the open seat vacated by Mike McGuire, facing Republican Tief Gibbs. He currently serves in the California State Assembly (District 12, elected 2022) and previously served on the Marin County Board of Supervisors and a San Rafael school board.
Tief Gibbs
Republican · declared
Tief Gibbs is the Republican nominee for California's 2nd State Senate District (North Coast) in the 2026 general election, facing Democratic Assemblymember Damon Connolly. A Novato small-business co-owner and conservative activist who ran for Congress in 2024, she has not previously held elected office.
Election sources
Source: ballotpedia.org