Representative in Congress District 2
August 4, 2026 · Congressional District 2 (119th Congress), Michigan · U.S. House district · primary
How do we calculate vote impact?
Vote impact = representation (how much weight one vote carries here, the smaller the district's population, the higher the representation) + decisiveness (how likely this race is to be close, based on past results and number of candidates).
Representation: Average · 42 out of 100
This district is mid-sized for its type, so each vote carries average weight. About 784,314 people live here.
score = 100 × ln(largest population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(largest ÷ smallest), rounded to 2 decimals = 100 × ln(1,021,191 ÷ 784,314) ÷ ln(1,021,191 ÷ 546,488) = 42.21, comparing all US House districts nationwide (grades: 66+ high, 33+ average, otherwise low)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No past results for this contest yet.
Average representation + unknown decisiveness → Average vote impact.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information and capped at "High".
United States Representative is responsible for:
- Voting on federal laws, taxes, and the federal budget
- Representing their district's interests in Congress
- Starting tax and spending bills, which must begin in the House
- Helping district residents deal with federal agencies
Affected Areas: Environment and Public Health, Reduce Wealth Gap, Anti-Corruption, Government Efficiency, Healthcare Affordability, Immigration, Government Spending Reduction, Social Programs and Welfare, Gun Control, Women's Reproductive Rights, National Defense, Personal Income Tax Reduction, Foreign Trade, Data Privacy, Civil Rights, Corporate Accountability, Public Infrastructure, Peaceful Foreign Policy
Candidates
Ambrose, Ben
Democratic · declared
Ben Ambrose is a Democratic 2026 U.S. House candidate in Michigan District 2. His campaign site identifies him as a Marine veteran and Western Michigan native running for Congress, and Michigan official candidate listing places him on the August 4 primary roster.
Records: National Defense 1 for
Hill, Jamie
Democratic · declared
Jamie Hill is a Democratic 2026 U.S. House candidate in Michigan District 2. Michigan official candidate listing places Hill on the August 4 primary roster, and the FEC candidate master identifies the current-cycle House candidate ID as H6MI02208.
Moolenaar, John
Republican · Incumbent · declared
John Moolenaar is the Republican incumbent U.S. Representative for Michigan District 2. His official House biography says he represents Michigan District 2, serves on the House Appropriations Committee, and chairs the House Select Committee on Strategic Competition Between the United States and the Chinese Communist Party.
Records: Healthcare Affordability 1 for, Immigration 1 for, National Defense 5 for, Public Infrastructure 2 for, Social Programs and Welfare 2 for
Welford, Clyde
Democratic · declared
Clyde Welford is a Democratic 2026 U.S. House candidate in Michigan District 2. Michigan official candidate listing places Welford on the August 4 primary roster, and the FEC candidate master identifies the current-cycle House candidate ID as H6MI02240.
Election sources
Source: mi-boe.entellitrak.com