United States Senate
Mississippi
My vote power
Below average
Election date
November 3, 2026 · General election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Average · 50 out of 100
This district covers a large share of its state, so each vote carries about average weight — like a vote in a statewide race. About 2,946,779 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(2,946,779 ÷ 2,946,779) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50, measured against a statewide vote in MS (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Low · rated not competitive as of August 19, 2026
Election analysts currently rate this race not competitive. Rating from Inside Elections and University of Virginia's Sabato's Crystal Ball.
Show the decisiveness math
IE "Solid Republican" (d=5) + Sabato "Safe Republican" (d=5) → mean 5 → "not competitive" → grade low (d: toss-up 0, tilt 2, lean(s) 3, likely 4, solid/safe 5; mean, first match: <1 toss-up, <2.5 very competitive, <3.5 competitive, <4.5 somewhat competitive, otherwise not competitive; toss-up and very competitive grade high, competitive and somewhat competitive grade average, not competitive grades low)
Average representation + low decisiveness → My vote power: Below average.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in federal income tax
- Voting on Social Security, Medicare, and other federal programs
- Confirming federal judges and Supreme Court justices
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Republican · Incumbent · declared
Cindy Hyde-Smith has served in the U.S. Senate since her 2018 appointment, winning the 2018 special election and a full term in 2020. She earlier served in the Mississippi Senate and as state agriculture commissioner.
Records: Environment and Public Health 30 against, Corporate Accountability 1 for, 7 against, Government Spending Reduction 1 for, 4 against,
Democratic · declared
Scott Colom is the district attorney for Mississippi's 16th Judicial District and the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2026. A lawyer and former municipal and justice-court judge, he was first elected district attorney in 2015 and won the March 2026 Democratic Senate primary.
Records: Civil Rights 1 for
Independent · declared
Ty Pinkins is a Mississippi attorney, U.S. Army veteran, and community organizer raised in Rolling Fork. He was Mississippi's Democratic nominee for secretary of state in 2023 and for U.S. Senate in 2024 before leaving the party.
Records: Civil Rights 1 for
Sources: sos.ms.gov2