State Representative, District 15
State House District 15; Arizona
My vote power
Above average
Election date
July 21, 2026 · Primary election
How do we calculate my vote power?
What goes into the rating: Representation: how much weight one vote carries here compared with a statewide vote — the smaller the district, the more each vote counts. Decisiveness: how likely this race is to be close, based on past results or current analyst ratings, plus the number of candidates.
Representation: Above average · 65 out of 100
This district is a good deal smaller than its state, so each vote here carries more weight than a vote in a statewide race. About 266,581 people live here.
Show the representation math
score = 50 + 50 × ln(state population ÷ this district's) ÷ ln(50,000) = 50 + 50 × ln(7,378,838 ÷ 266,581) ÷ ln(50,000) = 65.35, measured against a statewide vote in AZ (grades: 66+ high, 55+ above average, 33+ average, otherwise low; a statewide race is the 50 baseline)
Decisiveness: Unknown
No analyst ratings or past results for this contest yet.
Above average representation → My vote power: Above average.
Some data is missing, so this rating is based on partial information.
About this office
- Voting on how much you pay in state taxes
- Voting on how much money your local public schools get
- Voting on which roads and highways get built or repaired
Affects: AI Regulation, Healthcare Affordability, Environment and Public Health,
Candidates
Michael Way
AdvancedRepublican · Incumbent · advanced
Michael Way is a Republican Arizona state representative for District 15. His 2026 Clean Elections biography identifies him as a business executive with a construction-management degree from Arizona State University, an MBA and law degree from the University of Wyoming, and graduate study in educational assessment at Oxford.
Records: Civil Rights 6 for, 10 against, Election Integrity 10 for, 1 against, Public Safety and Crime Control 8 for, 3 against,
Neal Carter
AdvancedRepublican · Incumbent · advanced
Neal Carter is a Republican Arizona state representative for District 15 and serves as speaker pro tempore. His official and campaign biographies identify him as an attorney and estate-planning practitioner with literature degrees from UCLA and a law degree from New York University.
Records: Civil Rights 3 for, 10 against, Public Safety and Crime Control 10 for, 3 against, Election Integrity 9 for, 1 against,
Results
Advanced · Certified
Winners: Neal Carter (Republican), Michael Way (Republican)
Source: cdn1.arizona.vote · researched September 12, 2026
Sources: apps.arizona.vote · azsos.gov